tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34812312.post2620958323791885528..comments2023-10-23T17:07:34.238+00:00Comments on Hoff Limits: Proportional ReproductionMike Hoffmanhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06301650532274665517noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-34812312.post-57916658563225783372010-05-09T08:31:34.504+00:002010-05-09T08:31:34.504+00:00"nearly 8 in 10 will have the chance to vote ..."nearly 8 in 10 will have the chance to vote in a government of their choice more often than not"<br /><br />How do you reach this conclusion?<br /><br />It's a Sunday morning so I'm probably being slow, but I can't figure this out...<br /><br />Assuming, for the sake of argument, that the % who votes for LD, SNP, PC and Others is a more or less constant 30%, and that each of the big parties has a core 30% of the electorate that always votes for them then surely the only group that truely be said to more often than not vote in a government of their choice is the 10% of floating voters who swing between the two big parties, plus, in a period where a government of the same hue is returned a number of times the 30% that support the same party as the floaters.Clare S.noreply@blogger.com